Price is the most important thing. There is no need to make things much more complicated than that. This includes not even listening to financial news or watching CNBC. Just watch price and look at the charts. They reveal all you need to know. And of course, don't trade based on what you find here, if you don't know how to trade then learn how; this blog is not intended to provide financial advice to anyone who might happen to read it.
Wednesday, January 18, 2012
Deja vu
I can't help but think back to September 2010 when I look at the charts of the US indices. Back then I was a non believer. Well today I closed my DUST position since GDX looks to be holding 53 pretty well and went long ERX. Alot of stocks and ETFs are breaking out and I hate to chase such moves. XLE, which this ETF tracks 3X has not gone bonkers to the upside yet so I feel more comfortable taking a position in it. If XLE takes out 72.50 it is probably lights out for the bears on this one. We may see the mother of all short covering rallies. I think such a move would imply that we will also be feeling more pain at the pump soon enough. Better make good returns in the market; it's the only way your money will keep up with our supposedly non-existent inflation.
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